Inflation threatens to inflict 'lasting damage' on Asia: ADB
Asia's high inflation problem is due to lax monetary policy rather than soaring food and energy prices, and the threat of "lasting damage" is real, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) warned Wednesday.
The Manila-based lender on Tuesday jacked up its 2008 inflation forecast for developing Asia to 7.8 percent from the 5.1 percent it predicted in April.
Meanwhile it trimmed its economic growth forecast for the region to 7.5 percent from 7.6 percent.
"External food and oil price shocks explain less than 30 percent of Asia's CPI (consumer price index) inflation, while excess aggregate demand and inflationary expectations account for about 60 percent," said a study by ADB economists Juthathip Jongwanich and Park Donghyun.
It said the spike in commodity prices has given the region's policymakers "an excuse for not raising interest rates."
The bank warned that "monetary policy accommodative of the food and oil price shocks" will only reinforce the problem.
"This truly frightening prospect gives the region's central banks every reason to wake up to the importance of subduing inflation before it becomes entrenched and inflicts lasting damage on the economy.”
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