Preparing for a post-Trump world
Sweeping changes will be set in motion on January 20 as Donald Trump officially gets command of the White House. It raises the question of whether Trump will work against NATO and sacrifice EU to make Russia happy.
US-China relations are bound to take a major hit by the war of dominance on global trade. Hard sanctions may be on the way for China, and out of it a Pakistan-China-North Korea tripartite alliance may emerge as a global hegemony of autocratic rulers, fundamentalists and sectarians disturbing global peace and prosperity. I don't believe Trump will open fronts with both Russia and China at the same time. Closer US-Russia ties are not favourable for China and EU, but it will help India to strike favourable deals with US and Russia, with Pakistan and China on the anti-US platform. However, for her own diplomatic, economic and defense ties Russia needs to avoid antagonising an economically emergent India. Fixing the sour US-Israel relationship will be an acid test for President Trump, who cannot afford to lose a strong collaborator from the Middle East. I believe that Trump will sacrifice the Palestinian cause to realign once again with Israel.
Overall, a sea of changes, both positive and negative, is on its way. Let us prepare for the worst and hope for the best out of this new change in the geopolitical order!
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